How we calculate

In Climate & Nature, climate impact is calculated based on established methods and average data from Swedish cereal cultivation.  

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We calculate and control the effects of the measures within Climate & Nature carefully. The calculations are also reviewed by an independent party. It is important for us to be transparent and report these climate calculations, with the number of trade-offs, limitations and data sources they are based on. The process of making calculations and assumptions and reasons for them is reviewed by third parties through annual audits. 

 

Calculation principles

Since the start of the programme, we at Lantmännen have worked on the basis of a number of principles. Partly to make the programme more understandable, and partly to create real benefits in the form of climate reduction and to ensure that we do not promise more than we can deliver. Below is a description of these principles.

The criteria in the programme are updated regularly

The goal of Climate & Nature is to transition to more sustainable and productive agriculture with a view to climate neutrality by 2050, according to the climate goals of the Paris Agreement. According to the Paris Agreement, we need to halve emissions every ten years until 2050, so as not to exceed a global warming of 1.5 degrees. This creates a clear path forward and means that we need to continuously evaluate and update criteria for the program to follow the halving rate of emissions and reduce the climate impact of cultivation. In addition, new research leads to new innovative solutions for agriculture, for example in terms of climate change, promotion of biodiversity, reduced eutrophication and reduced need for plant protection. Research and innovation are an important part of being able to further develop the measures within the programme and in parallel meet the market demand for sustainable cultivation methods and products. 

Our reference year is based on Climate & Nature's start year 2015

The programme started in 2015. When we communicate the effect of Climate & Nature to broad consumer groups, we always refer to the climate reduction in relation to the programme's starting point, which is grain cultivation in Sweden in 2015. We have chosen this reference year to clarify the programme's development and progress over the years. Since cerealcultivation in Sweden develops annually, a comparison with cerealcultivation in the same year would continuously result in different years' results and thus make it more difficult to follow the development of the program over time.  

When we communicate the climate footprint of Climate & Nature, based on kg CO2e per tonne of grain, to customers or stakeholders, it is important to state the climate reduction that has actually been created in that particular harvest year. This means that we compare Climate & Nature against graincultivation for the same harvest year.  

The Role of Productivity in the Future of Agriculture

A fundamental prerequisite for achieving the Agriculture of the Future is increased productivity, as the population is growing globally and food production must be sufficient for more people in the future. Increased efficiency and productivity mean that more grain volume can be produced on the same area with the same or lower amount of inputs, which lowers the grain impact in general terms. It is therefore necessary to reduce the climate impact with measures on farms, without affecting productivity. When we make our climate calculations for Climate & Nature, we include this aspect in the model.  

We contract farmers per hectare

In Climate & Nature, Lantmännen signs contracts with farmers who cultivate according to the programme. The farmer undertakes to cultivate a certain amount of hectares according to the programme and is also compensated per hectare cultivated according to Climate & Nature's measures. Contracting per hectare means that the farmer receives a stable compensation for additional costs associated with cultivation according to the programme, regardless of the harvest outcome. The payment is thus separate from the compensation received by the farmer for the volume of cereals itself (normally calculated in terms of price per tonne), which lowers the barrier for the individual farmer to join the programme and leads to more farmers being given the opportunity to convert. 

We handle the grain according to the mass balance principle

When the farmer has delivered grain grown according to Climate & Nature, the grain is mixed with other, conventionally grown, grain at Lantmännen's grain reception. This is because the criteria in the program do not affect the quality or sensory properties of the grains, i.e. you do not experience any difference in terms of quality or nutrition between the grains grown inside and outside the program. 

The grain is thus handled according to the mass balance principle, which means that it is not separated through the chain from silo to end product. Traceability throughout the chain would increase the cost significantly since it would be necessary to invest in a new silo structure and/or have to transport grain over longer distances. The increased cost of this would have to be passed on to consumers, thereby reducing consumer demand for Climate & Nature, which in turn would reduce the pace of conversion of Swedish agriculture. However, Lantmännen balances how much has been grown according to the program, and ensures that we do not sell more than the cultivated volume that harvest year. The management of the mass balance is reviewed and audited by third parties so that you as a consumer can feel confident that the volume of grain required to producethe products you have purchased has been grown according to the program and that the climate benefit has actually createds

We calculate on average harvests

When Lantmännen sells Climate & Nature to its customers, we do so in volume of grain or processed raw material (e.g. flour). We convert hectares to tonnes by using an average harvest for the regions where Climate & Nature is grown, based on data from Statistics Sweden, Statistics Sweden. The average harvest is based on the seven most recent harvests (minus the highest and lowest harvest during that interval) and is an average of the five remaining harvests. We use an average of five harvests as it can vary greatly between different harvest years, as well as to exclude extremities, which affect the climate benefit per tonne of grain even though exactly the same measures and work have been carried out on the farm.

Averages depend on area and time

In the climate calculations for Climate & Nature, standard data and averages are currently used. The averages used vary based on the area or time period you choose to calculate on. If you take the average harvest as an example, it depends a lot on which area in Sweden you grow in. For example, the yields in southern Sweden are usually higher than in northern Sweden. The average harvest is also greatly affected by the years studied, as the harvest levels vary as a result of weather and climate. Because of this, we follow how Climate & Nature performs locally, but also how the program performs on average for the whole country.

Focus on reducing emissions, not offsetting

Climate & Nature contains climate-reducing measures and no climate-compensating measures. This means, for example, that we replace fossil fuels on farms with renewable ones, thus reducing the farm's climate impact. The emission-reducing measures that we implement within Climate & Nature always take place within the value chain for grain farming.

We have chosen to focus first and foremost on the phasing out of fossil energy rather than, for example, sequestering carbon in arable land. Sequestration of carbon is an important tool, but it is partly more difficult to calculate and partly problematic to determine the lasting effect and ensure that the carbon is not released into the atmosphere again at any later date. Therefore, we have started by including reductions that we are sure they will occur. However, carbon sequestration is an area that is being developed, and Lantmännen is contributing with further research.

Climate calculations

In the climate calculations for Climate & Nature, all elements in the field that affect the climate are taken into account. To understand how the different activities affect the climate, Lantmännen has collected data on the climate impact from the production of input goods to activities that take place for the cultivation.

To define the different activities that take place on the farm, such as how much fertilizer is used or how much fuel is used when ploughing and sowing, official statistics and data are collected from several actors.

In addition to describing activities and inputs that lead to emissions, we also take into account emissions that occur due to land use. These emissions are based on standard models from the IPCC (UN Climate Agency). However, we only take emissions from land use into account and not increased carbon storage in soil, which happens naturally when crops grow. This is because there have been no standardized calculation methods for carbon dioxide uptake and that Climate & Nature has not focused on criteria that promote uptake, but rather on those that reduce the climate impact of inputs and activities on farms.

By using these data points, we get a clear and reliable picture of what a Swedish cereal cultivation looks like. We then simulate Climate & Nature's criteria in the same calculation model to calculate the program's effects on Swedish cereal cultivation. Thus, we can compare the results and present the climate effects that occur when Climate & Nature measures are used.

The effect with and without fossil-free fertilizer

From harvest 2023, fossil-free mineral fertilizer is a criterion in Climate & Nature. The fossil-free mineral fertilizer is a groundbreaking criterion because it contributes to a significant climate reduction in cultivation. The production of fossil-free mineral fertilizer is still early in development, which means that the additional cost is higher. Therefore, during a transition period, Lantmännen offers Climate & Nature both with and without fossil-free fertilizer. This enables more people to participate and contribute to a sustainable transition. 

The results from the calculations show that Climate & Nature with fossil-free fertilizer today has up to 45% lower emissions compared to the Swedish average cultivation in 2015. Climate & Nature without fossil-free fertilizer today has up to 30% lower emissions compared to the Swedish average cultivation in 2015.

Delimitations and sources

For the calculations of the Climate & Nature cultivation programme, Lantmännen has chosen to focus on the cultivation of the raw material, i.e. the calculations include all activities from the production of inputs, to the farm, until the drying of the grain. Activities after drying the grain, such as transport to the store, are not included in the calculations. 

When it comes to fossil-free value chains, similar calculation methods are used and the value chain has been developed to include activities all the way until a package of wheat flour is produced in the factory.

Data sources and assumptions that build our 
Calculations for Climate & Nature:

  • Average harvest –Statistics Sweden
  • Kalk – Swedish Board of Agriculture and National Inventory Document to UNFCCC
  • Fertilizer production – Yara
  • Proportion of topsoil in Sweden - National Inventory Document to UNFCCC  / SMED (2021)
  • Humus content in other soil - based on internal knowledge from Lantmännen's cultivation consultancy
  • Basic leaching - Constant for national calculations, retrieved from Agrosphere. Agrosphere in turn retrieves from SLU, Calculation of the impact of different cultivation measures on nitrogen leaching, Appendix 1&2.
  • Soil type - based on internal knowledge from Lantmännen's cultivation consultancy
  • Amount of seed - Grow
  • Proportion of BAT fertiliser used in Sweden - Estimate is made in consultation with one of our fertiliser suppliers, Lantmännen's cultivation consultancy and data from Lantmännen's own fertiliser sales.
  • Fertiliser application - Swedish Board of Agriculture's guidelines for fertilisation and liming
  • Phosphorus and potassium - Grow
  • Plant protection – RISE
  • Fuel consumption – RISE
  • Water content and drying - Lantmännen's drying agreement
  • Straw salvage - National Inventory Document to UNFCCC

Ploughing - based on internal knowledge from Lantmännen's cultivation consultancy

In-depth study

For those who want to delve deeper into the climate calculations for the cultivation program Climate & Nature, the calculation principles are described in detail via this link. The calculations are made in accordance with Agrosfär's calculation model and are described in a report that can be found through this page.

Next steps

Climate & Nature evolves over time and Lantmännen continuously evaluates and adds criteria to be included in the programme. The programme has currently phased out the absolute majority of fossil emissions and in the future we will need to focus more on biogenic emissions in the form of nitrous oxide emissions from soil and carbon sequestration in the soil. These are two areas that the Lantmännen Research Foundation continues to research further in order to increase knowledge and find effective measures for the future. 
In addition to criteria development, Lantmännen is also working to improve data quality and include primary data from farms in calculations. However, this is a work that will take time. Farmers today have the opportunity to use hardware to measure how much fuel has been used, for example, but there is still work to be done in terms of correct and efficient documentation that can be shared more widely.

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Climate & Nature

Climate & Nature is Lantmännen's program for the agriculture of the future and contains concrete measures that benefit biodiversity and reduce climate impact.

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