How we calculate

We calculate and follow up the effects of the measures within Climate & Nature carefully. The calculations are also reviewed by an independent party. It is important for us to be transparent and report these climate calculations, with the number of trade-offs and average farm data they are based on.

Calculation principles

Since the start of the programme, we at Lantmännen have worked on the basis of a number of principles. Partly to make the program more understandable, partly to create real benefits in the form of climate reduction and to ensure that we do not promise more than we can keep. The following is a description of these principles.

The criteria in the programme are updated regularly

The goal of Climate & Nature is to transition to more sustainable and productive agriculture with a view to climate neutrality by 2050, all in accordance with the climate goals of the Paris Agreement. According to the Paris Agreement, we need to halve emissions every ten years until 2050, so as not to exceed a global warming of 1.5 degrees. This creates a clear path forward and means that we need to continuously add new criteria to the program to follow the halving rate of emissions and reduce the climate impact from cultivation. In addition, new research leads to new innovative solutions for agriculture, both in terms of climate change but also increased biodiversity, reduced eutrophication and reduced need for plant protection, for example. Research and innovation are an important part of the further development of the actions within the programme.

Our reference year is based on Climate & Nature's start year 2015

The programme started in 2015. When we communicate the effect of Climate & Nature to broad consumer groups, we always refer to the climate reduction in relation to the program's starting point, which is the conventional grain cultivation in Sweden in 2015. We have chosen that reference year to clarify the development and progress of the programme over the years. Since conventional cultivation in Sweden is developing year by year, a comparison with conventional cultivation would result in different results in different years and thus make it more difficult to follow the development of the program over time. 

When we communicate the climate footprint of Climate & Nature, expressed in kgCO2eper tonne of grain, to customers or stakeholders, it is important to state the climate reduction that has actually been created in that particular harvest year. This means that we then compare Climate & Nature against conventional cultivation for the same harvest year. 

The Role of Productivity in the Future of Agriculture

A fundamental prerequisite for achieving the Agriculture of the Future is increased productivity. This is because the population is growing globally and food production must be enough for more people in the future. Productivity also affects the climate impact per tonne of grain produced . Increased efficiency and productivity means that more grain volume can be produced on the same area with the same or smaller amount of inputs, which lowers the cost of grain climate impact in general terms. It is therefore necessary to reduce the climate impact with measures on farms, without affecting productivity.

We contract farmers per hectare

Within Climate & Nature, Lantmännen signs contracts with farmers who cultivate according to the programme. The farmer commits to cultivating a certain amount of hectares according to the programme and is also compensated per hectare cultivated according to Climate & Nature's measures. Contracting per hectare means that the farmer receives a stable compensation for additional costs associated with cultivation according to the program, regardless of the harvest outcome. This lowers the barrier for the individual farmer to join the program and leads to more farmers being given the opportunity to change.

Contracted farmers receive an extra payment based on the number of hectares cultivated according to Climate & Nature. The payment is thus separate from the compensation that the farmer receives for the volume of grain itself (normally calculated in terms of price per tonne).

We handle the grain according to the mass balance principle

When the farmer has delivered grain grown according to Climate & Nature, the grain is mixed with other, conventionally grown grain at the grain reception. This is because the criteria in the program do not affect the quality or sensory characteristics of the grains, i.e. you do not experience any quality or nutritional difference between the grains grown inside and outside the program. 

The grain is thus handled according to the mass balance principle, which means that it is not separated through the chain from silo to final product. Traceability throughout the chain would significantly increase the cost as it would require investment in a new silo structure and/or the need to transport grain over longer distances. The increased cost that this entails would have to be passed on to the consumer and thus reduce consumer demand for Climate & Nature. Lantmännen balances how much has been grown according to the program, and ensures that we do not sell more than the cultivated volume until the current harvest year. The management of the mass balance is reviewed and audited by third parties. If you as a consumer buy a product connected to Climate & Nature, you can feel confident that the volume of grain required to produce the product has been grown according to the program and the climate benefit has been created. 

We calculate on average harvests

When Lantmännen sells Climate & Nature to its customers, we do so in the volume of grain or processed raw material (e.g. flour). We convert hectares to tonnes by using an average yield for the regions where Climate & Nature is grown, based on data from the Swedish Board of Agriculture and Statistics Sweden. The average harvest is based on the seven most recent harvests, excluding the highest and lowest harvests during the interval, and is an average of the five remaining harvests. We use an average value of five harvests as the harvests can vary greatly between different harvest years, which affects the climate benefit per tonne of grain despitethe fact that exactly the same measures and work have been carried out on the farm. 

Averages depend on area and time

In the climate calculations for Climate & Nature, templates and averages are currently used, similar to the average harvest. These averages vary depending on the area or time period you choose to investigate. If you take the average harvest as an example, it varies depending on which area in Sweden you grow in.   Because of this, we follow how Climate & Nature performs locally, but also how the program performs on average for the whole country. The average harvest is also greatly affected by the years selected, as the harvest levels vary due to weather and climate.

Focus on reducing emissions, not offsetting

Climate & Nature contains climate-reducing measures and no climate-compensating measures. This means, for example, that we replace fossil fuels on farms with fossil-free ones, thus reducing the farm's climate impact. The emission reduction measures implemented within Climate & Nature always take place within the cereal farming value chain. 

We have chosen to focus first and foremost on the phasing out of fossil energy rather than, for example, sequestering carbon in arable land. Carbon sequestration is also an important tool, but it is partly more difficult to calculate and partly problematic to determine the lasting effect of (i.e. to ensure that the carbon is not released into the atmosphere again at any later time). Therefore, we have started by including reductions that we are sure will occur. However, carbon sequestration is an area that is being developed and Lantmännen is contributing with further research. 

Climate calculations

In the climate calculations for Climate & Nature, all elements in the field that affect the climate are taken into account. To understand how the different activities affect the climate, Lantmännen has collected data on the climate impact from the manufacture of all inputs to the cultivation. 

To define the different activities that take place on the farm, such as how much fertilizer is used or how much fuel is used when ploughing, we collect data from a variety of actors. This is to describe an average Swedish cultivation of wheat, rye, oats, durum wheat or barley. For example, how much fuel per hectare is used in an average Swedish wheat farm? How much fertilizer? 

In addition to describing the activities and inputs that lead to emissions, we also take into account emissions that occur due to land use. These emissions are based on standard models from the IPCC (UN climate agency). We only take emissions from land use into account and not increased carbon storage in soil, which happens naturally when crops grow. This is because there have been no standardized calculation methods for carbon dioxide uptake, and Climate & Nature has not focused on criteria that promote removal, but rather on those that reduce the climate impact of inputs and activities on farms. In the future, we intend to include carbon removals in criteria and calculations. 

This way of calculating gives us a good estimate of what an average conventional grain cultivation looks like in Sweden. To get results for Climate & Nature, we apply the criteria that Climate & Nature has in the same calculation model and compare Climate & Nature against conventional farming. 

The effect with and without fossil-free fertilizer

For the 2023 harvest, Climate & Nature has been updated with a new criterion, fossil-free mineral fertilizer. The fossil-free mineral fertilizer is a groundbreaking criterion because it contributes to a significant climate reduction in cultivation. As we are early in the development of fossil-free mineral fertilizer, the additional cost is also high, which has led to us at Lantmännen offering Climate & Nature both with and without fossil-free fertilizer for a while. This is to enable a sustainable transition for as many people as possible. 

The results from the calculations show that Climate & Nature with fossil-free fertilizer today has up to 45% lower emissions compared to the Swedish average cultivation in 2015. Climate and nature without fossil-free fertilizer today has up to 30% lower emissions compared to the Swedish average cultivation in 2015.

Delimitations and sources

For calculations of the Climate & Nature cultivation programme, Lantmännen has chosen to focus on the cultivation of the raw material, i.e. the calculations include all activities from the production of inputs, on the farm, to the drying of the grain. Activities after drying the grain, such as transport to stores, are not included in the climate calculations. 

In terms of fossil-free value chain, the same calculations have been implemented, including an expansion of activities all the way until a package of wheat flour is produced in the factory.

Sources that shape our calculation basis

Average harvest – Swedish Board of Agriculture and SCBJhe Swedish Board of Agriculture and Statistics Sweden 
Lime – Swedish Board of Agriculture and National Inventory Report to UNFCCC
Fertilizer production – Yara
Proportion of topsoil in Sweden - National Inventory Report to UNFCCC  / SMED (2021)
Humus content in other soil - based on internal knowledge from Lantmännen's cultivation consultancy
Basic leaching - Constant for national calculations, taken from Agrosphere. Agrosphere in turn retrieves from SLU, Calculation of the impact of different cultivation measures on nitrogen leaching, Appendix 1&2.
Soil type - based on internal knowledge from Lantmännen's cultivation consultancy
Amount of seed - Grow
Proportion of BAT fertiliser used in Sweden - Estimate is made in consultation with one of our fertiliser suppliers, Lantmännen's cultivation consultancy and data from Lantmännen's own fertiliser sales.
Fertiliser application - Swedish Board of Agriculture's guidelines for fertilisation and liming
Phosphorus and potassium - Grow
Plant protection – RISE
Fuel consumption – RISE
Water content and drying - Lantmännen's drying agreement
Straw harvesting - National Inventory Report to UNFCCC
Ploughing - based on internal knowledge from Lantmännen's cultivation consultancy

Depression
For those who want to delve deeper into the climate calculations for the Klimat & Naur cultivation program, the calculation principles are described in detail via the link below. The calculations are made in accordance with Agrosfär's calculation model.

 

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Climate & Nature

Climate & Nature is Lantmännen's program for the agriculture of the future and contains concrete measures that benefit biodiversity and reduce climate impact.

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